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Economics

Inflation above the national average and external deficit mark Northeast's economic scenario

Food prices ease in June, but transport and energy continue to strain families

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Fortaleza, Ceará

According to the August Macro Regional Bulletin from FGV IBRE, the IPCA in the Northeast rose by 0.30% in June 2025, above the national average (0.24%), although below the May rate. Capitals such as Fortaleza (+0.37%) and Recife (+0.33%) saw the highest increases, while Aracaju (+0.14%) recorded the lowest index. Over the past 12 months, the region's inflation remains pressured, especially in Fortaleza (+5.46%) and Salvador (+5.23%). 

While food prices showed relief, transport and housing prices resumed their upward trend, directly impacting family incomes. 

In the external sector, the regional trade balance registered a deficit of US$ 229.4 million in June, despite improvement compared to 2024. Soybeans accounted for almost 80% of agricultural exports, but shipments of the grain dropped by 25.1% over the year. The manufacturing sector continued to show a negative balance, reinforcing dependence on external markets for a few products and trading partners. 

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